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BHP GROUP PLC - Petroleum briefing

Release Date: 11/11/2019 07:05
Code(s): BHP     PDF:  
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Petroleum briefing

 BHP Group Plc
 Registration number 3196209
 Registered in England and Wales
 Share code: BHP
 ISIN: GB00BH0P3Z91

Issued by:                       BHP Group Plc


Date:                            11 November 2019


To:                              London Stock Exchange
                                 JSE Limited


For Release:                     Immediately


Contact:                         Helen Ratsey +44 (0) 20 7802 7540



                                                      Petroleum briefing



 UK Listing Authority Submissions

 The following document has today been submitted to the National Storage Mechanism
 and will shortly be available for inspection at: www.morningstar.co.uk/uk/NSM

                -    Petroleum briefing

 The document will also shortly be available via BHP’s website: bhp.com

 The meeting will be webcast at: https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/362g83wf


 Further information on BHP can be found at bhp.com.




 BHP Group plc Registration number 3196209
 LEI 549300C116EOWV835768
 Registered in England and Wales
 Registered Office: Nova South, 160 Victoria Street
 London SW1E 5LB United Kingdom




 A member of the BHP Group which is headquartered in Australia


 Sponsor: UBS South Africa (Pty) Limited


NEWS RELEASE

Release Time            IMMEDIATE
Date                    11 November 2019
Release Number          21/19


Petroleum briefing

BHP President Operations Petroleum, Geraldine Slattery, today said Petroleum is set to
deliver strong returns and contribute significant value for BHP through the 2020s and
beyond, built on a foundation of quality assets, and attractive growth options.

Speaking to investors and analysts at a briefing in Sydney, Ms Slattery said Petroleum is
a great business with competitive growth potential and is aligned with BHP’s strategy of
being in the best commodities, with the best assets, enabled by the best culture and
capabilities. Petroleum has delivered strong financial performance over many years and
this is set to continue.

“In a decarbonising world, deepwater oil and advantaged gas close to established
infrastructure can offer competitive returns for decades to come.”

Ms Slattery outlined a scenario(1) that could potentially:

    -   Generate robust EBITDA margins of more than 60 per cent and an average
        Return on Capital Employed of more than 15 per cent over the next decade;
    -   Deliver average Internal Rates of Return of around 25 per cent for major projects,
        which are resilient through cycles; and
    -   Support an average annual volume growth of up to 3 per cent between the 2020
        and 2030 financial years.

“Our portfolio of quality assets and pipeline of competitive growth options are expected to
generate strong free cash flow and returns through the 2020s and beyond”, Ms Slattery
said.

Petroleum’s growth options currently include Scarborough, Wildling Phase I, Trion and
Trinidad & Tobago North. While these remain subject to our strict Capital Allocation
Framework, they are well placed to compete with other options in the Group’s portfolio.

“Our capabilities in safety, exploration and deepwater operations, coupled with a high-
performance culture give us confidence that we can deliver on our plans into the future,”
Ms Slattery said.

Presentations will be webcast live at https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/362g83wf
and all materials be available on our website at bhp.com.

A summary of guidance and project details contained in the presentation is included
below.

(1) Represents an unconstrained scenario based on execution of all unsanctioned projects at current equity
interests and does not constitute guidance. Based on Wood Mackenzie’s most recent long-term oil and gas
price forecasts as follows: Brent oil price assumption (2020-2030 average: US$74.34/bbl, real 2019); Japan
LNG DES price assumption (2020-2030 average: US$7.86/MMBtu, real 2019).
Guidance

           Asset                               FY20e                                        Medium term
                                                                      
                                 Production              Unit costs1               Production               Unit costs1

Conventional Petroleum         110-116 MMboe           US$10.5-11.5/boe       ~110 MMboe average     Less than US$13/boe


Future options

Options            Operator     BHP     Potential Capex       Tollgate       Potential Description
                              Ownership execution BHP                          first
                                         timing    share                    production2
                                                  (US$m)

                                                                                       Low risk investment opportunity to
North West                                                                             maximise Karratha Gas Plant value
                                                    Greater
Shelf Other                             Less than               Pre-                   through processing other resource
                   Woodside    16.67%                than                      FY26
Resource                                 5 years              feasibility              owner gas; benefits through tolling
                                                     250
Owner                                                                                  fees, cost recovery and life
                                                                                       extension.

                                                                                       Combination of well re-entries and
                                                    Greater
Pyrenees                                Less than           Opportunity                new subsea wells which aim to
                     BHP       71.43%                than                      FY22
Phase 4                                  5 years            Assessment                 optimise incremental value using the
                                                     250
                                                                                       existing infrastructure.

                                                                                       Large resource of 13 subsea wells
                                                                                       connected to a semisubmersible
                                                    1,400-      Pre-
Scarborough3 Woodside           26.5%    1 year                                FY24    floating production unit from which
                                                    1,900     feasibility
                                                                                       gas is exported via pipeline to Pluto
                                                                                       LNG facility for onshore processing.

                                                                                       Additional development opportunities
                                                  Greater                              for infill producing wells. Data
Atlantis                                Less than         Opportunity
                     BP         44%                than                        FY24    obtained from Phase 3 project de-
Phase 4                                  5 years          Assessment
                                                   250                                 risks further development of multiple
                                                                                       hydrocarbon bearing zones.

Mad Dog                                                                                Two water injector wells providing
                                                    Greater
Northwest                               Less than               Pre-                   water from Mad Dog Phase 2 facility
                     BP         23.9%                than                      FY24
Water                                    5 years              feasibility              to increase production at existing A
                                                     250
Injection                                                                              Spar facility.

                                                                                       Additional opportunities to increase
                                                                                       the Mad Dog Phase 2 production
                                                  Greater
Mad Dog                                 Less than         Opportunity                  beyond the initial investment scope
                     BP         23.9%              than                        FY25
opportunities                            5 years          Assessment                   with new wells tied back to existing
                                                   250
                                                                                       facility, results in highly economic
                                                                                       opportunities.

                                                                                       Shenzi Subsea Multi-Phase
Shenzi                                               Less
                                                                Pre-                   Pumping (SSMPP); Subsea pumping
Growth               BHP        44%      1 year      than                      FY23
                                                              feasibility              opportunities to increase production
opportunities                                        250
                                                                                       rates from existing wells.





Options       Operator     BHP     Potential Capex          Tollgate       Potential Description
                         Ownership execution BHP                             first
                                    timing    share                       production2
                                             (US$m)

                                                                                      Two Shenzi North wells tied-back to
                                                                                      the Shenzi platform, provides the
                                                                                      opportunity to accelerate production
Wildling                                                      Pre-
                BHP      44%-72%     1-2 years     ~500                      FY23     and unlock additional recoverable
Phase 1                                                     feasibility
                                                                                      reserves. Phased development
                                                                                      accelerates first oil, minimizes
                                                                                      appraisal cost and reduces risk.

                                                                                      Large greenfield development in the
                                              Greater                                 deepwater Mexico GoM. Resource
Trion           BHP        60%       2-3 years than Conceptual               FY25     uncertainty reduced with recent
                                               5,000                                  successful appraisal drilling of 2DEL
                                                                                      and 3DEL wells.

                                                                                      Completed successful exploration
                                                                                      program on our Northern licenses.
Trinidad &
                                    Less than Under Opportunity                       Potential material gas play in
Tobago          BHP        70%                                               FY27
                                     5 years  study Assessment                        deepwater Trinidad & Tobago, well
North
                                                                                      positioned to the Atlantic LNG plant
                                                                                      onshore Trinidad & Tobago.

Note: This represents an unconstrained scenario based on execution of all unsanctioned projects at current equity
interests and does not constitute guidance.


Exploration

Options         Location         Ownership       Maturity    Earliest first Description
                                                             production

                                   100%                                       Acquired a significant acreage position in
                US – Gulf of
Western GoM                                      Frontier     Early 2030s     historically underexplored Western Gulf of
                Mexico            Operator
                                                                              Mexico

                                                                              Opportunity to tie back prospects to future
                Mexico – Gulf      60%
Mexico                                       Exploration       Late 2020s     Trion hub. Included in Trion Minimum Work
                of Mexico         Operator
                                                                              Program

T&T Southern Trinidad &            65%                                        Discovered gas play in deepwater Trinidad &
                                             Exploration       Mid 2020s
Gas (Magellan) Tobago             Operator                                    Tobago

                                                                              Evaluating multiple play types to test deeper
T&T Southern Trinidad &            65%                                        potential in deepwater Trinidad & Tobago
                                                 Frontier      Late 2020s
Deep Potential Tobago             Operator                                    based on deep oil shows from Le Clerc
                                                                              exploration

                                   100%                                       Recent bid success for blocks with large
Eastern
                Orphan Basin                     Frontier     Early 2030s     liquids resource potential in the offshore
Canada                            Operator
                                                                              Orphan Basin in Eastern Canada

                 Significant remaining project potential with unrisked NPV of up to US$14 billion4




1. Based on an exchange rate of AUD/USD 0.70. Unit costs are in nominal terms.
2. Potential first production data is an estimate and does not constitute guidance.
3. Based on information provided by operator. Represents BHP’s current equity position as 25% in WA-1-R and 50% in
   WA-62-R.
4. Exploration unrisked value at BHP prices.
Further information on BHP can be found at: bhp.com




Media Relations                                   Investor Relations

Email: media.relations@bhp.com                    Email: investor.relations@bhp.com


Australia and Asia                                Australia and Asia


Gabrielle Notley                                  Tara Dines
Tel: +61 3 9609 3830 Mobile: +61 411 071 715      Tel: +61 3 9609 2222 Mobile: + 61 499 249 005


Europe, Middle East and Africa                    Europe, Middle East and Africa


Neil Burrows                                      Elisa Morniroli
Tel: +44 20 7802 7484 Mobile: +44 7786 661 683    Tel: +44 20 7802 7611 Mobile: +44 7825 926 646


Americas                                          Americas


Judy Dane                                         Cristian Coloma
Tel: +1 713 961 8283 Mobile: +1 713 299 5342      Tel: +1 713 235 8902 Mobile: +1 346 234 8483




BHP Group Limited ABN 49 004 028 077              BHP Group plc Registration number 3196209
LEI WZE1WSENV6JSZFK0JC28                          LEI 549300C116EOWV835768
Registered in Australia                           Registered in England and Wales
Registered Office: Level 18, 171 Collins Street   Registered Office: Nova South, 160 Victoria Street
Melbourne Victoria 3000 Australia                 London SW1E 5LB United Kingdom
Tel +61 1300 55 4757 Fax +61 3 9609 3015          Tel +44 20 7802 4000 Fax +44 20 7802 4111




Members of the BHP Group which is
headquartered in Australia
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Date: 11/11/2019 07:05:00
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