BHP GROUP LIMITED - Update - Jansen Stage 1 Potash Project

Update - Jansen Stage 1 Potash Project

BHP Group Limited
BHP Group Limited ABN 49 004 028 077
Registered in Australia
Registered Office: Level 18, 171 Collins Street Melbourne VIC 3000
Share code: BHG
ISIN: AU000000BHP4




Exchange release
20 January 2026

Update - Jansen Stage 1 Potash Project
BHP has completed a detailed review of cost and schedule estimates for Stage 1 of the Jansen potash
project (Jansen Stage 1) and confirms that the total investment1 estimate for Jansen Stage 1 will
increase to US$8.4 billion (including contingencies) and the first production schedule has reverted to
the original schedule of mid CY2027.
In July 2025, BHP confirmed that it expected to update the market on the timing and capital expenditure
estimate for Jansen Stage 1 in H2 FY2026. The investment cost estimate has been updated from the
previously estimated range of US$7.0 billion to US$7.4 billion (including contingencies) announced in
July 2025 and the US$5.7 billion initial estimate of the investment cost for Jansen Stage 1 when the
project was approved in August 2021.
As announced in July 2025, these cost increases have been driven by inflationary and real cost
escalation pressures, design development and scope changes and lower productivity outcomes.
The majority of the cost increase since the estimated range announced in July 2025 is from construction
hours and quantities of materials that were not included in previous execution cost estimates. These
construction costs were identified following the comprehensive review of Jansen Stage 1 budget and
schedule.
BHP has implemented a response plan to address cost and schedule risks for Jansen Stage 1 which
has improved productivity, strengthened project management and enhanced oversight of execution
contracts. This plan is expected to support sustained efficiency gains in the delivery of Jansen Stage 1
and improved capital intensity in subsequent phases of the Jansen Project.
Jansen Stage 1 continues to progress and is 75% complete. BHP continues to expect Jansen Stage 1
to deliver approximately 4.15 million tonnes per annum (Mtpa) of production. At consensus prices,
Jansen Stage 1 has an updated internal rate of return of 7.9% to 9.1% and an updated expected
payback period of 11 to 15 years from first production 2. Underlying EBITDA margins for Jansen Stage
1 remain strong at approximately 63% to 64% due to its low-cost position3.
BHP President Americas, Brandon Craig said
"Jansen is an important pillar in BHP's long-term growth strategy and is a long-life, low cost expandable
asset that is expected to generate benefits for shareholders for decades. Once operational, Jansen will
establish BHP as a leading player in the global potash industry. We remain positive about the progress
at Jansen and in potash as a future facing commodity with strong long-term demand fundamentals
driven by population growth, better diets, rising living standards, and the need for more productive and
sustainable use of arable land."
BHP is continuing to advance construction of Jansen Stage 2 and will implement the project execution
improvements identified in the review of the investment cost and schedule estimates for Jansen Stage


BHP Group Limited ABN 49 004 028 077
1. BHP expects to update the market on the investment expenditure estimate for Jansen Stage 2 in Q4
FY2026.
Longer term, Jansen has the potential for two additional expansions to reach an ultimate production
capacity of 16 to 17 Mtpa (subject to studies and approvals).


Authorised for lodgement by Stefanie Wilkinson, Group Company Secretary


Footnotes
   1. Investment expenditure includes: project capital expenditure, project operating expenditure,
      cost to construct right-of-use assets (i.e. Westshore port terminal and 3rd party rail line) and
      related contingencies.
   2. Price assumptions reflect a range of Argus and CRU prices. Jansen Stage 1 internal rate of
      return range is post-tax, nominal and reflects Argus and CRU prices (Average 2029–2039:
      US$349/t Argus and US$256/t CRU, FOB Vancouver, Real 1 Jan 2026). The internal rate of
      return is the expected internal rate of return based on Jansen Stage 1's cashflows across
      approximately 90-year mine life.
   3. Jansen Stage 1 EBITDA margin reflects a range of Argus and CRU prices across approximately
      90-year mine life.


Sponsor: J.P. Morgan Equities South Africa Proprietary Limited




BHP Group Limited ABN 49 004 028 077

Date: 20-01-2026 08:15:00
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